• International Workplace
  • 18 July 2018

Businesses to face cost hikes and skills shortages if new Off-Payroll tax hits the private sector

Increasing costs, shrinking talent pools, reduced flexibility and legal challenges to status assessments are among the hurdles that firms are expected to have to navigate if the Off-Payroll tax reaches the private sector. This prediction comes following a survey of more than 2,000 public and private sector contractors by contracting authority ContractorCalculator.

Key findings revealed: 

  • 94% of contractors would avoid contracts placing them ‘inside IR35’ and 25% would never take a contract ‘inside IR35’;
  • 73% would only accept ‘inside IR35’ contracts with a significant rate rise;
  • 63% said they would demand a rate increase if travel was required;
  • 54% would work less each year rather than take on ‘inside IR35’ work;
  • 23% will quit contracting altogether;
  • 94% believe those deemed ‘employed for tax purposes’ should automatically receive employment rights. Eighty-nine per cent would consider legal action to secure rights;
  • 79% do not consider HMRC’s CEST tool to be accurate; and
  • 48% will not vote for an MP who supports these tax reforms

Commenting on the findings, Dave Chaplin, CEO and founder of ContractorCalculator said:

“We’re 15 months in since the Off-Payroll legislation hit our public services and organisations across the public sector have failed to compromise on their approach to the tax legislation and are suffering intensified skills shortages as a result. If private sector firms follow suit, they could suffer an identical fate.

“As our survey shows, an expansion of the new tax into the private sector alone threatens to deprive the UK labour market of much of its flexibility and it will cost them, both in monetary terms as well as in talent and skills terms with 94% of contractors avoiding ‘inside IR35’ work. Our findings paint a bleak picture of things to come if government chooses to roll out the new off-payroll tax to the private sector. It will be devastating for UK plc and the UK economy overall.”

When asked what rights they believe they should be afforded if deemed ‘employed for tax purposes’, 92% highlighted sick pay, 74% want maternity pay and 81% want grievance/disciplinary protection.  A mere 6% claimed they wouldn’t want any form of rights.

Added Chaplin:

“The Off-Payroll tax rules may not require firms to grant rights to contingent workers. However, contractors are willing to take measures to secure employment rights if deemed to be ‘employed for tax purposes’, resulting in potentially costly legal implications for hirers and again more damaging impact for UK plc as 48% claimed they would lodge an employment tribunal appeal to secure employment rights.”

Survey respondents provided a damning review of CEST, the tool built by HMRC which they claim provides a useful guide on employment status:

  • 77% do not agree that CEST accurately reflects the law around employment status;
  • 79% do not believe that CEST can be trusted to give accurate results; and
  • 74% claimed they would always seek an alternative assessment from an expert.


Said Chaplin:

“Firms shouldn’t assume that using CEST means they are protected and for private sector firms, the message is clear: assessing contractors using CEST may seem like a risk-free, straightforward option, but it will be far more troublesome in the long run.” 

“As the implementation of the recent public-sector changes have shown, government alone can’t be trusted to do what’s best for the UK and the UK economy. We are living and working in uncertain times and the labour market as a whole must make government see sense before any more damage is done. Business should speak up and speak out now.”

A pdf of ContractorCalculator’s survey can be downloaded here: